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Tuesday, 3 September 2013

Flying Car

Posted on 04:37 by Unknown

This Flying Car Could Soon Be 

Yours for $279,000




It seems like something out of The Jetsons, but it's real. Or at least it will be soon.

Terrafugia is perhaps just a few regulations and one very powerful battery away from clearing most of the hurdles it needs to create a flying car that consumers in the market for the equivalent of a super luxury sedan could afford.

It's a dream that Carl Dietrich, the company's co-founder, CEO and CTO, has been working at steadily since at least 2006.
 

"I think it's ridiculous we don't have these things out there, right now," Dietrich said, speaking of the flying cars he's helping to design. "There is so much potential for an economic benefit to society if we have things like this. There have been a number of studies recently that have quantified the economic impact of traffic congestion ... just for the U.S., I think it was estimated at $87 billion to $125 billion a year. And that's just comparing it to driving at normal speeds, without traffic."

So, that's part of the reason why Dietrich and Terrafugia want your car to take wing, but it's also been part of his lifelong passion for flight. Even at a young age, Dietrich wondered why small aircraft weren't developing toward a more practical, everyday transportation option.

It was in 2004, while he was completing his Ph.D. at M.I.T., that Dietrich read about new developments at the Federal Aviation Administration — new kinds of pilots' licenses and a new kind of aircraft certification. These paved the way for Terrafugia. Enter the Transition.

The Transition: Prototype for the Terrafugia Vision

 
With a cruising speed of 100 miles per hour in the air and gas mileage of about 35 to the gallon on the ground, Terrafugia's first model of flying car exists already.

"We're flying a second-generation prototype, right now," Dietrich said of the Transition. "But yes, it's beyond the proof of concept stage."

The Transition is basically a small general-aviation airplane that can fold up its wings with the push of a button. It runs on normal automative gasoline — about 30% less expensive than aviation fuel (its range is about 410 miles plus a 30-minute reserve). Fly the Transition to a small airport, land, and the wings withdraw in less than a minute. Its propeller disengages and its rear-wheel drive turns on. At that point, you're street legal and ready to roll. At home, the Transition is designed to fit within a single-car garage.

"One of the biggest problems that pilots face is that flying little airplanes is a very weather-sensitive activity," said Dietrich. "You may fly somewhere, and the weather changes and you're stuck. You have to make other travel arrangements. It's not something you can count on. With the Transition, you can count on getting to where you want to go. It may take a little longer, if you have to drive instead of fly, but you still get there, or you get home."

 
But only if you have a pilot's license, because this is still considered a plane and not a car or something in between. And the price of a Transition? When it comes to market, it'll likely cost about $279,000, putting it in the range of consumers who'd buy, say, a super sports car, something of that nature.

The next generation from Terrafugia, the follow-up to the Transition, should prove a bit more universally affordable.

TF-X: Next Steps into the Air

When we think about flying cars, we're probably wishing for something more like what science fiction has suggested would be that key imagined value prop — that in the middle of snarled traffic we could just lift into the air and soar away. Well, that's not quite what Terrafugia promises in its next flying-car iteration, but it's close.

"How cool and useful could we make a flying car, just based on the physical limitations and the state of technology?" said Dietrich. "That's what TF-X is, it's what we believe we can do."
 

In its design phase, TF-X is a vertical take-off and landing vehicle, equipped with computers and a network that provides a great deal of automated navigation and piloting. All the stick-and-rudder work of the conventional pilot (and even that of the Transition)? Gone. The operator in the TF-X would have the primary task of confirming that the trip is proceeding safely. Everything is done for them. Five hours of training and then you're on your way. No pilot's license required.

And instead of a runway — the Transition needs about 1,700 feet for takeoff — you'd be able to utilize pre-approved zones in places such as parking lots and open fields. Since TF-X takes off and lands straight up and down, there's no runway at all.

Furthermore, TF-X would be at least a hybrid vehicle. Dietrich says Terrafugia is counting on advancements in battery technology — much-needed increases in endurance are expected in the coming decade. If the vehicle could run on battery for hours rather than about 10 minutes, it'd likely be good-bye to the combustion component of the TF-X altogether.

And, unlike the Transition, you won't need a quarter million to get into the operator's seat. Dietrich said the TF-X, produced at a high enough volume, could retail in the mid-five-figure range — about what you'd pay for a Tesla Model S.

Clearing the Hurdles

Beyond better batteries for the TF-X, the main challenge that Terrafugia faces is that of regulations. Before we can all take to the air in our computer-assisted craft, the FAA and other agencies have to sign off on the prospect of all these vehicles zipping through the sky.

The Transition is already in good shape, or so it seems. According to Dietrich, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has already granted Transition the needed special considerations. Now, Terrafugia is waiting on the FAA to make its determination about a special weight allowance.

As for the TF-X, it's a bit more complicated. The present iteration of a battery and motor combo will need special approvals — not to mention the regulations that will have to be addressed around landing zones and the systems that would make TF-X a mostly computer-assisted experience. But Terrafugia is working on those things, becoming a part of the panels and boards that will make the next generation of rules that the concept of flying cars will need in place to survive.

"We are having an influence on the emerging regulatory standards that will be used as basis for certification of future products," said Dietrich. "We can actually see a pathway to effect the change that will need to happen to make cars like TF-X actually work."




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